The Republican Primary is now essentially a two horse race. Ted Cruz is the only man that poses a threat to Donald Trump. John Kasich needs over 100% of the remaining delegates in order to reach the magic number of 1,237, and someone needs to tell him that there are 49 other states outside of Ohio. He also finished fourth in a three man race in Arizona.
Despite the fact that it is mathematically impossible for him to clinch the nomination, Kasich is staying in. He even suggested that Cruz should drop out, “…because he can’t win in the fall.”
The electability argument is nothing new against Cruz. Before he dropped out, Marco Rubio supporters would make the case that Rubio was more electable than Cruz. Rubio was said to be the better candidate because of his personality and his performance in polls against Hillary Clinton.
The debate over who is and who is not electable is seriously flawed. It relies on the premise that “The candidate I support is electable, and the one you support is not.” It diminishes actual policy proposals and records. Case in point: in 2012, Republicans nominated Mitt Romney–whose main legislative accomplishment as Governor of Massachusetts was implementing the predecessor to Obamacare–because he was “electable.”
People who use this “argument” act is if they have some sort of magic power to see many months into the future. “If the election was held today” is a poor argument, because the election is not being held today, or tomorrow, or even next month. Between now and November, things are bound to happen that nobody can predict. Hillary Clinton may be indicted, allowing for Joe Biden to jump in the race, or another Paris or Brussels style attack may be enough for Trump to overcome his high unfavorable ratings in a general election. If the Republican Party is destined for a contested convention in Cleveland, the delegates should not allow crystal ball gazing to ultimately decide who they nominate.
When Cruz and Rubio were having arguments over foreign policy and immigration, the only thing that seemed to unite their supporters was a strong distaste for the self-righteous and self-centered John Kasich, despite the fact that Kasich does the best against Clinton. Lost in the “Cruz is not electable” arguments is the fact that Cruz is doing better against Clinton at this point in time than Mitt Romney was doing against Barack Obama in 2012.
If you are determined to ensure that Donald Trump is not the Republican nominee, Ted Cruz is the only man who can prevent that from happening.